Geopolitical Economy Chapter 1 (2013)

The owl of Minerva, Hegel once remarked, takes wing at dusk. Knowledge results from reflection after the tumult of the day. This gloomy view may be too sweeping, but it certainly applies to the multipolar world order. Influential figures began hailing it in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession. The American president of the World Bank spoke of ‘a new, fast-evolving multi-polar world economy’ (World Bank, 2010). Veteran international financier George Soros predicted that ‘the current financial crisis is less likely to cause a global recession than a radical realignment of the global economy, with a relative decline of the US and the rise of China and other countries in the developing world’ (2008). However, the multipolar world order was much longer in the making. Developments of this magnitude simply don’t happen overnight even in a crisis (though, as we shall see, emerging multipolarity was a decisive factor in causing it), and this has important implications for prevailing understandings of the capitalist world order.

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